Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.377632 0.416437 0.458026 0.505995 0.559902 0.618727 0.687933
2025-06-29 0.311851 0.365028 0.426104 0.501794 0.593563 0.701833 0.840143
2025-07-06 0.265551 0.322956 0.391904 0.481483 0.595751 0.737928 0.930241
2025-07-13 0.243287 0.305418 0.382883 0.487622 0.627164 0.808976 1.067598
2025-07-20 0.225639 0.291006 0.375148 0.492903 0.655850 0.876974 1.206003
2025-07-27 0.211193 0.278920 0.368597 0.498017 0.683334 0.944307 1.349088
2025-08-03 0.198054 0.267155 0.360988 0.500212 0.705856 1.005465 1.488418
2025-08-10 0.187492 0.257884 0.355728 0.504701 0.731266 1.072164 1.642319
2025-08-17 0.173709 0.242915 0.341046 0.493809 0.732076 1.100792 1.737824
2025-08-24 0.166155 0.236303 0.337812 0.499477 0.758304 1.170734 1.908052
2025-08-31 0.157101 0.226794 0.329486 0.496408 0.770016 1.217741 2.043596
2025-09-07 0.150250 0.220088 0.324828 0.498530 0.789952 1.279611 2.211639
2025-09-14 0.141313 0.209777 0.314135 0.490437 0.792679 1.313225 2.333811
2025-09-21 0.133806 0.201247 0.305697 0.485409 0.800176 1.355855 2.478305
2025-09-28 0.123878 0.188301 0.289382 0.465914 0.780608 1.347616 2.521753
2025-10-05 0.119991 0.184782 0.288072 0.471820 0.806619 1.425423 2.747483
2025-10-12 0.116229 0.181220 0.286418 0.476903 0.831377 1.502968 2.982399
2025-10-19 0.112702 0.177824 0.284791 0.481824 0.856089 1.582572 3.232006
2025-10-26 0.108916 0.173770 0.281770 0.483936 0.875477 1.653219 3.470945
2025-11-02 0.105756 0.170595 0.280051 0.488257 0.899409 1.735300 3.747269
2025-11-09 0.100386 0.163347 0.270783 0.477775 0.892924 1.752833 3.872466
2025-11-16 0.097874 0.160933 0.269943 0.483230 0.919146 1.842868 4.187413
2025-11-23 0.094238 0.156355 0.264947 0.480276 0.927649 1.894737 4.413536